I have been chewing on this for months now… probably hinted at it before.
I think the Top 6 Best Picture nominees are now pretty well locked down and that the winner is highly likely to come from this group, notably containing all 5 slots from both DGA and SAG (alphabetical):
A Complete Unknown - SAG/DGA
Anora - SAG/DGA
The Brutalist - DGA
Conclave - SAG/DGA
Emilia Pérez - SAG/DGA
Wicked - SAG
I have a list of 10 more titles that could fill in - still a great honor - the other 4 Best Picture slots. If you put a pool noodle to my head, I could easily reduce this list to 6, but that’s not the point of today’s newsletter, particularly with 2 days now left in AMPAS nomination voting…
A Real Pain, Babygirl, Dune II, Gladiator II, Nickel Boys, Nosferatu, Queer, September 5, Sing Sing, The Substance
I’m already moving on to Phase II of the Oscar season which won’t officially start until Oscar nominations land next Sunday, January 19.
My position for much of the season is that A Complete Unknown is…
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to The Hot Button by David Poland to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.